Chứng khoán UP
Rating Announcement · UP Securities Joint Stock Company · 15/05/2025
Rating Announcement Chứng khoán UP Securities

Rating Announcement

UP Securities Joint Stock Company

VIS Rating assigns first-time BBB- issuer rating to UP Securities Joint Stock Company, stable outlook

KH
Ratings & Research Department
15/05/2025

Credit Rating Result

BBB-
Issuer rating
Stable
Outlook
Initial rating
Rating status

Hanoi, 15 May 2025 - VIS Rating has assigned a long-term issuer rating of BBB- to UP Securities Joint Stock Company (UPS). The outlook on UPS’s BBB- issuer rating is stable. This is the first time VIS Rating has assigned a rating to UPS.

SUMMARY OF KEY FACTORS

Extremely
weak
Very
weak
WeakBelow
average
AverageAbove
average
StrongVery
Strong
Stand-alone Assessment
Risk appetite
Leverage
Profitability
Funding & Liquidity
LowModerateHighVery highExtremely high
Affiliate support
Government support
Source: VIS Rating

Rating rationale

UPS’s BBB- long-term issuer rating reflects its average standalone assessment and our expectation of a low likelihood of affiliate and government support for the company in times of need. The company’s standalone assessment incorporates its above-average leverage and risk appetite, average funding and liquidity profile, and weak profitability relative to peers.
UPS is a small securities firm in Vietnam, providing brokerage and margin lending services to individuals, and corporate advisory services. Established in 2007, the firm operates on a small scale with total assets of VND330 billion at end-2024 – less than 0.1% of total industry assets. Since the firm underwent a change in its key shareholders in mid-2024, a new management team had been put in place to steer the future strategic growth of the firm. Prior to 2024, the firm had limited business activity.
According to the management, UPS intends to accelerate the growth of its core brokerage and margin lending businesses, its proprietary trading and investments in listed equities and fixed-income instruments, as well as develop its capital market advisory business. A key pillar of the firm’s growth strategy is the continuous investment in new technology to develop its online stock and bond trading platform to attract young individual customers. The firm plans to expand its physical operations over time, and strengthen its access to bank and bond financing to fund its expansion.
UPS’s profitability reflects its historically lower-than-industry return on average assets (ROAA) and higher-than-industry earnings volatility.
With minimal business activities under previous shareholders over the past five years, UPS’s ROAA was at 1.0% on average, much lower than the industry average of 5.5%.
Over the next 12-18 months, UPS plans to boost its core profits by quadrupling its higher-earning assets with a target ROAA of 2.8% in 2026. The firm plans to have 60% of its total assets in margin loans; 20% in fixed-income instruments mainly Term Deposits (TDs), Certificate of Deposits (CDs), Financial Institution (FI) bonds; and 10-15% in listed equities.
As a small firm in the early stages of acquiring new customers, UPS is likely to rely on lowering service fees to attract new brokerage and margin loan borrowers. The firm has identified companies in real estate, construction, renewable energy, and agricultural sectors to provide bond advisory services to. Higher core profits from margin lending, fixed-income operations, and corporate advisory will be offset by operating costs from new technology investment and business expansion.
We expect its earnings volatility will remain high given its small scale of operations. As its income from other new business lines begin to grow, we expect income diversity and stability to improve.
We assess UPS’s risk appetite at an “Above-Average” level, reflecting its low exposure to higher-risk assets such as non-FI bonds and unlisted shares, in line with the firm’s strategy to prioritize margin loans and treasury activities over the next 12-18 months.
As of 31 March 2025, most of UPS's total assets are cash, TDs and listed equity investments. As the firm accelerates its margin lending and investment activities, it will be critical for the firm to establish strong operational and risk management practices to manage credit and market risks prudently.
According to the management, given the firm’s modest capital level, UPS will refrain from underwriting large corporate bonds deals, and instead invest in bank bonds and CDs for treasury activities over the next 12-18 months.
We position UPS’s funding and liquidity at an “Average” level, reflecting its small scale that limits its access to new funding sources.
As of end-2024, UPS's total funding consisted primarily of total equity. According to the management, UPS is actively working with several domestic banks to obtain new credit facilities on both secured and unsecured basis. We note that large firms in Vietnam typically have established a track record of securing clean credit lines from domestic and foreign banks, which adds to the resilience of their funding and liquidity during market volatility.
As of 31 March 2025, UPS’s inflow-to-outflow ratio was at 204%, higher than the industry average, as the firm maintained minimal business activities and significant cash balances over the last five years. If the firm’s business expands as planned, we expect its liquidity buffer to recede over time.
We assess UPS’s leverage at an “Above-Average” level, reflecting the firm’s lower-than-peers use of borrowings. UPS’s leverage ratio increased to 1.6x in 3M2025 from 1.0x in end-2024, as the firm increased its holdings of listed equities and Certificate of Deposits.
According to the management, UPS plans to raise new equity as well as borrowings to fund its business expansion. It plans to raise up to VND 320 billion of new equity in 2025. It is also prepared to operate at higher leverage of 2-3x. The firm plans increase bank borrowings and issue VND 300 billion worth of two-year unsecured bonds in 2025.
UPS’s issuer rating does not incorporate uplift for affiliate and government support.
The outlook on UPS’s long-term issuer rating is stable, reflecting our view that its credit fundamentals will remain stable over the next 12-18 months.

Factors That Could Lead to an Upgrade/Downgrade

Factors that could lead to an upgrade

(1) the company demonstrates a track record of improving the profitability of its core businesses on a sustainable basis, for example, through the organic growth of its customer base and business activity, and achieving ROAA of 3.5% or higher; and
(2) the company pursues business expansion prudently by strengthening its loss absorption buffer, for example leverage ratio of 2x or lower on a consistent basis

Factors that could lead to a downgrade

(1) the company's exposure to higher-risk assets increases substantially; or
(2) leverage increases significantly as a result of aggressive asset growth, leading to a severe deterioration to its loss absorption buffer, for example, leverage ratio of 3x; or
(3) the profitability of its core businesses worsens continuously, and pointing to weakness in business franchise and significant operational challenges; or
(4) the company becomes increasing vulnerable to liquidity risks and does not hold sufficient liquid assets to cover its short-term obligations, for example, liquidity ratio below 100% on a consistent basis

Rating methodology

Financial Institutions Rating Methodology.

For more detailed information, please refer to our full credit rating methodology at: here

Credit rating history

Regulatory disclosures

For further specification of VIS Rating's Rating Symbols and Definitions, please see: here

UPS’s ownership stake in VIS Rating: 0% 
The ownership ratio of UPS held by VIS Rating’s staff: 0%
Cases in which analysts and credit rating council members cease their participation in the credit rating contract before the contract expires and the reason for the cessation: 0 

VIS Rating adheres to a stringent independence policy by current regulations governing the provision of credit rating services in Vietnam. This commitment extends to compliance with our conflicts-of-interest policy, aiming to uphold objectivity and independence when expressing opinions on credit ratings.
The rating has been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.
This rating is solicited.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this rating announcement apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
Please see https://visrating.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the VIS Rating's legal entity that has issued the rating.
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Analyst & Committee

Primary Analysts

NG
Nguyen Ha My, CFA
Sector Lead Analyst

Rating Committee Members

SI
Simon Chen, CFA
Head of Ratings & Research
PH
Phan Duy Hung, CFA, MBA
Senior Director - Head of Financial Institutions Ratings & Research
PH
Phan Thi Van Anh, MSc
Director - Senior Analyst
NG
Nguyen Dinh Duy, CFA
Director - Senior Analyst
DN
Duong Duc Hieu, CFA
Senior Director - Head of Corporate Ratings & Research

Credit Rating Announcement Number

Vietnam Investors Service and Credit Rating Agency Joint Stock Company

Public credit rating announcement no: VN0102311942-001-150525

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